Because we can’t have our NATO troops so far to the south, it would take too long to reinforce into the Baltics: the Russians, by most intelligence estimates, could be all the way through and retake the Baltics in three days or less.” —Steve GanyardAvascent’s Steve Ganyard, principal and head of Avascent Global Advisors recently appeared on ABC’s This Week to discuss the increasing number of Russian military exercises near Eastern Europe. NATO aircraft are now conducting around five intercepts daily of Russian aircraft in the Baltic Sea and Russians are about to start massive military exercises along the border with Eastern Europe. In explaining Russia’s motives, Ganyard explained Putin knows the Baltics are weak so these exercises flex military muscles, appeal to Russian nationalists and cover up for a weakened economy, but added he may be intending to tie up NATO forces in the north to prepare for an invasion of Ukraine this fall.
Ganyard goes onto explain that the countries across the Baltics are so vulnerable because of their flat, tank-friendly terrain, and NATO troops cannot be so far to the south, therefore it would take too long to reinforce into the Baltics. Highlighting then the importance of the deterrence of air power, which is the best move for NATO in the region. Ganyard also discussed the likelihood of an invasion into the Baltics versus Ukraine. Watch the full clip “Russia Increases Military Exercises Near Eastern Europe” here.