With NATO’s eyes on the defense of its Baltic members and a growing view that Poland is NATO’s new center of gravity in the East, a Kaliningrad A2/AD zone projects advanced ground, naval, and air threats, creating significant security challenges.”
In a piece published on the National Interest, Avascent Analyst Bret Perry uses a mixture of fiction and analysis to illustrate the implications of Russia’s posturing in Kaliningrad: the presence of Russian ground, naval, and air forces that has essentially transformed the tiny area into a major “pop-up” Anti-Access/Area-Denial (A2/AD) zone.
In order to “pop” Russia’s European A2/AD bubbles wherever they may be established, Perry analyzes past examples of how to degrade the potential effectiveness of Russia’s A2/AD zones and establish some credible level of conventional deterrence. Perry concludes that Russia’s actions in Europe require the US and NATO to increase their investments in the appropriate capabilities, hone joint multinational operations through regional exercises, and most importantly, assess how their current strategy, doctrine, and tactics match up against this evolving threat.
Read the full op-ed: Entering the Bear’s Lair: Russia’s A2/AD Bubble in the Baltic Sea