Data Stories: Spotlight Shifts to IFVs (Part 2)

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By Ben Goodlad, Analysis Manager

Based on data taken from Avascent Analytics Inventory Forecast, which provides platform inventory data from 2012 to 2028 for 61 countries globally, Analysis Manager Ben Goodlad examines changes in the Armoured Personnel Carrier and Infantry Fighting Vehicle inventories for 24 countries in Europe. To read Part 1 of this Data Story analyzing Armored Personnel Carrier inventories, click here.

In the Infantry Fighting Vehicle role the proportion of wheeled platforms is also increasing, due to the offering of new turret solutions for platforms originally developed as APCs. 8×8 platforms procured in an IFV role include Boxer, AMV and Nexter’s VBCI. Boxer, fitted with a Rafael Samson 30 mm remote weapon station, has been procured by Lithuania and Slovenia. Patria’s AMV is in service with Poland as the Rosomak, with the IFV variant fitted with Oto Melara’s Hitfist-30P turret, featuring the same Bushmaster Mk 44 30 mm cannon as the Boxer. Slovakia is the latest European country to procure a wheeled IFV, with the army due to procure 81 AMV XP platforms, featuring a 30 mm armed Turra remote weapon station.

However unlike in the APC role, where orders have been predominately for wheeled platforms, there is still demand for tracked IFVs with forecast deliveries of tracked platforms from 2018 through 2027 accounting for two thirds of total IFV deliveries with 952 tracked units forecast compared to 470 wheeled vehicles. As a result, tracked vehicles are still expected to account for 81 percent of IFV inventory in 2027.

Currently only two tracked IFVs are entering service with the European Armies that Avascent Analytics examines, with Puma being supplied to Germany by KMW and Rheinmetall and Estonia receiving surplus CV9035s from the Netherlands. However, over the next ten years this is due to change as Eastern European countries look to modernize their legacy former Soviet Union IFV fleets amidst an increasing threat from Russia. The Czech Republic, Finland, Poland and Greece have either stated, or are expected to state, a requirement for new Infantry Fighting Vehicles with a likelihood that these will be tracked platforms. Poland has the largest modernization effort with 400 IFVs set to be delivered over the next 10 years, whilst the Czech Republic is set to receive 210 platforms during the forecast window and Finland 135. Finally, an opportunity projected by Avascent Analytics for Greece is forecast to see 150 vehicles being delivered from 2021 to 2025.

Given the number of opportunities in the tracked IFV market, it is unsurprising to see launch of at least one new IFV variant at Eurosatory 2018, with Rheinmetall unveiling its Lynx family. At the same time BAE Systems is showcasing the CV90 Mk IV.

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