The Political Report 3/4/20
Main Story: FY2021 Future Years’ Defense Program Analysis
Last week, Congress began to respond to the FY2021 President’s Budget Request, and the initial responses were not great. As expected, lawmakers are going to fight to roll back many of the cost savings proposed by the Department of Defense (DoD) such as the early retirement of aircraft and reductions in near-term shipbuilding. But the most contentious issue will likely be the newly announced transfer of $3.8 billion from defense accounts to pay for the southern border wall. In a somewhat surprising development, Ranking Member Mac Thornberry (R-TX), has indicated he may be willing to work with House Democrats to block these types of transfers. Expect more fireworks as these hearings continue this week with DoD before the House Armed Services Committee (HASC), the Senate Armed Services Committee (SASC), Senate Appropriations (SAC-D), and House Appropriations (HAC-D).
While Congress will continue to bat around DoD leadership, Avascent has spent the past few weeks breaking down and analyzing the Future Years’ Defense Program (FYDP). This is the program information that extends four additional years (through FY2025) provided in the full justification documents released by DoD. While these plans do not necessarily represent all expected activity in that time period, they do give a clear indication of how existing programs are expected to develop. As part of our research, we have released Avascent’s Defense Budget Explorer, which provides the ability to quickly and accurately assess how specific programs proceed under the FYDP.
In addition to a variety of suspension bills, the House is hoping to wrap up consideration of a $7.25 billion supplemental to respond to the Coronavirus.
The Senate is taking the rare step of considering legislation on the floor, as the chamber will try to work through a bipartisan energy package supported by Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) and Joe Manchin (D-WV). Should the House pass the Coronavirus supplemental, the Senate may shift to consider it as well.
Congressional Defense Activity
- 3/3 “50 Years of the Non-Proliferation Treaty: Strengthening the NPT in the Face of Iranian and North Korean Nonproliferation Challenges,” Subcommittees on Asia, the Pacific, and Nonproliferation, and the Middle East, North Africa, and International Terrorism Hearing, 2172 Rayburn, 10am
- 3/5 “The Global Engagement Center: Leading the United States Government’s Fight Against Global Disinformation Threat,” Subcommittee on State Department and USAID Management, International Operations, and Bilateral International Development Hearing, SD-419 Dirksen, 10am
- 3/3 “US Policy and Posture in Support of Arctic Readiness,” Subcommittee on Readiness and Management Support Hearing, SR-232A Russell, 230pm
- 3/3 “CLOSED: Department of Defense Cyber Operations,” Subcommittee on Cybersecurity Hearing, SVC-217 Capitol Visitor Center, 230pm
- 3/4 “OPEN/CLOSED: Department of Defense Review of Vetting Policies for International Military Students Following the Attack on Naval Air Station Pensacola,” Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities Hearing, SR-232A Russell, 10am
- 3/4 “Navy Shipbuilding Programs,” Subcommittee on Seapower Hearing, SR-222 Russell, 10am
- 3/4 “Department of Defense Budget Posture,” Full Committee Hearing, SH-216 Hart, 230pm
- 3/5 “Posture of the Navy,” Full Committee Hearing, SD-G50 Dirksen, 930am
- 3/3 “The Fiscal Year 2021 National Defense Authorization Budget Request for the Department of the Army,” Full Committee Hearing, 2118 Rayburn, 1030am
- 3/3 “The Fiscal Year 2021 Budget Request for Nuclear Forces and Atomic Energy Defense Activities,” Subcommittee on Strategic Forces Hearing, 2212 Rayburn, 230pm
- 3/3 “The Fiscal Year 2021 Air Force and Space Force Readiness Posture,” Subcommittee on Readiness, 2118 Rayburn, 2pm
- 3/4 “The Fiscal Year 2021 Budget Request for US Cyber Command and Operations in Cyberspace,” Subcommittee on Intelligence and Emerging Threats and Capabilities Hearing, 2212 Rayburn, 230pm
- 3/4 “Department of the Navy Fiscal Year 2021 Budget Request for Seapower and Projection Forces,” Subcommittee on Seapower and Projection Forces Hearing, 2118 Rayburn, 2pm
- 3/4 “The Fiscal Year 2021 National Defense Authorization Budget Request for the Department of the Air Force,” Full Committee Hearing, 2118 Rayburn, 10am
- 3/5 “The Fiscal Year 2021 Army and Marine Corps Ground Modernization Programs,” Subcommittee on Tactical Air and Land Forces Hearing, 2212 Rayburn, 930am
- 3/4 “Review of the FY2021 Budget Request for the National Guard & Reserve,” Subcommittee on Defense Hearing, 138 Dirksen, 10am
- 3/3 “National Guard/Reserves,” Subcommittee on Defense Hearing, H-140 The Capitol, 3pm
- 3/4 “US Navy/Marine Corps Budget Request for FY2021,” Subcommittee on Defense Hearing, H-140 The Capitol, 11am
- 3/4 “US Space Force Organizational Plan,” Subcommittee on Defense Hearing, H-140 The Capitol, 3pm
- 3/5 “Defense Health Program (DHP),” Subcommittee on Defense Hearing, 2359 Rayburn, 9am